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Sr. Program Manager, Cloud Products & Governance at Warner Bros Discovery
Project approvals & business decisions rely on three basic questions:
When will it be done?
How much will it cost?
Is it worth doing?
When a project is unlike anything the team has done before, early estimates become overly optimistic. And, if a timeline is built on dependencies, we end up too far behind to make mid-course corrections.
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After all, adding people or resources to an already late project only makes it later.
The remedy is to measure the "risk" upfront through lean experimentation (and by "risk," I mean the unknowns that defy accurate estimation).
Identify those unknowns, slice them into thin experiments, dedicate resources, time-box the effort, and run them just long enough to make the work "knowable." Then we can scale estimates accordingly.
